Posts Tagged ‘historical CTR’

Beware Of Abandoned Keywords

January 9th, 2009

High traffic and low cost are always attractive for advertisers. Unfortunately, newbies often fall victim to illusions created by some market phenomenon and their own wishful thinking. Chasing a rainbow or mirage can only cause losses. It’s only data collection and exact analysis that lead to long term profits. We shall briefly discuss 2 examples of a market trap that’s often followed by a slap if you don’t beware.

1. If you set your Keyword Tool’s match type to *exact* you can determine the approximate average monthly number a given search query was keyed in by users in a specific geographic area.

2. The search query *lyrics* is keyed in by users approx. 368,000 times a month in the UK. The Ad Preview Tool, however, shows that no sponsored link comes up for this search query on Google’s search results page. It may seem to many newbies that this is a huge undiscovered market worth some investment.

The truth is that this search query does not carry what we call *commercial intent*. Users simply want to browse organically listed websites for fun and they are not interested in clicking on ads or purchasing products or services. I’d bet that quite a few advertisers tried this keyword in the past but every one failed in terms of efficiency. CTR and hence Quality Score were very low and conversion rate was even lower. Poor history made Google skeptical about this keyword which results in high bids even when no one is advertising. It’s Google’s way of warning you of danger; in addition to protecting a high quality of user experience, of course. Avoid such keywords.

3. Let’s take a bit more perceivable and more apprehensible example which is bordering a burlesque. The search query *nothing* is keyed in by users approx. 1,220,000 times in the USA. A fascinating and bewitching traffic potential, to say the least and without any competition! Unfortunately, however, while – purely based on statistical numbers – it may seem an extremely huge, enormous market niché, these people, in fact, don’t want anything. They don’t want to see your ad or click on it. They don’t want to be taken to your website, purchase a product or service, sign up for your ezine or perform any other kind of what we might perhaps term as a conversion. They simply want nothing. Pretty sure the search query they entered would tell us a lot about their intentions if they had any.

Well, jokes aside, it’s just another example for abandoned keywords. If you try to set up an ad group to target these people you’ll see that the first page bid is somewhere close to USD 1.00 even though usually no advertisers are trying to avail themselves of this keyword. Why is the first page bid estimate as high as that? It’s because a number of wannabe experts tried to exploit this market earlier and created a poor history for the keyword before realizing a complete lack of commercial intent on the users’ side.

4. In a bit more general context, let’s say you are a newbie florist. It’s interesting to look at the question where you should try selling flowers at the beginning? In the flower market where there are dozens of other florists or in a neighborhood where you are the only one. Well, if you are an inexperienced newbie I’d advise you to follow the way paved by your fellow florists. The pioneers’ attitude might only be fruitful after having gained enough experience. (Needless to say this evidently refers to AdWords, I am not knowledgeable about flowers.)

Well, what is the moral of the above? The combination of highly popular keywords and very low competition often mislead new advertisers. They often tend to think they have just discovered a huge niché promising an enormous amount of low cost traffic and a great earning potential. As it was demonstrated in the above paragraphs they had better think twice before investing funds. Whenever it is a really important factor, first you should always figure out why your competitors do behave that way.

High Minimum Bids Without Competition?

December 30th, 2008

All my former keywords (bids of a few cents for each click, #1 position) were suddenly doomed “poor quality” and “not relevant”. The minimum bid was raised to almost 90 cents though there is no competition.

It’s a complaint we hear most often from newbies to the Google AdWords advertising program.

You should see right away that the amount you bid is not the amount you pay. Google AdWords uses a so-called second price auction model the effect of which is that while you may bid 90 cents, the paid amount will probably be much less. The bid in this case indicates your seriousness, how much you *could* be paying. Of course, you can’t know for sure before you accrue clicks. However, based on general experience we may state that the price will be really lower since you have few competitors. Try to get a good click-through-rate and the actual CPC will go on lowering down to $0.10 or so. It should be noted that some savvy advertisers are known to have bid around $100.00 and paid $0.01. Generally speaking, your short-term competitors may increase the average CPC temporarily their actual costs, however, will get them to leave finally.

What you should achieve is to have a nice CTR in the region of 5% or higher, keyword search only. The Google AdWords system is considered to assume a cca. 2.5% CTR until you build up a meaningful history specifying your own actual CTR. Specialists argue the system seems to have a price goal for the space which is in fact a lower limit. In case your landing pages, ads and keywords are fine you may receive a good initial minimum bid. AdWords, however, modifies the minimum bids in stages. The second stage is the very first visit by the AdWords bot exploring your landing page quality and various relevance factors. If the bot results are poor you may see a sudden increase in your minimum bids which newbies are often upset with. Now you need to discover what the problems might be, create a new ad group and cancel the former one.

If the above remedies don’t cure the situation you are punished by a poor account history in the course of the AdWords auction. Established online businesses often rehabilitate such keywords by moving them to a new Google AdWords account. Small ventures, of course, are often unable to follow suite and have more difficulties with solving the problem. All in all, we may state that if you have few competitors you will not have to pay high costs per click for extended periods of time. Precondition is, of course, that you need to build up a meaningful history with acceptable CTR values so as to lower the actual prices. It’s plenty of work to do for any new advertiser.

Low Competition, Still High Bids?

December 19th, 2008

Many new Google AdWords advertisers complain that though they have managed to identify low competition keywords the AdWords algorithm assigns very low Quality Score to their keywords which leads to pretty high bid requirements for them. It defies logic – they argue since market forces are considered to ensure that low competition is coupled by low prices. In this article we discuss cases where the keywords are far from being popular among users.

1. “The system appears to be optimized for people selling goods of interest to millions of people, to huge marketers no matter what they are selling…” – this is an excerpt from a blog entry often cited by newbies. In some sense, it is true. It is much easier to advertise appropriate products using popular keywords searched for by hundreds of thousands of people especially if Google is *optimistic* about these keywords. However, Google is a profit oriented mass media and not a charity. Which mass medium would make life easier for someone with extremely uncommon keywords? Would TV commercials be helpful in marketing LaTex, a physics related “equation editor”? A new brand of shampoo is much more suitable for TV, isn’t it?

2. The problem is twofold.

- a. Historical CTR is a very important factor in your keyword’s Quality Score.

- b. Lack of previous history makes Google cautious.

(Google has good reasons for a./ and b./ and that boils down to *relevance*. However, this question is beyond the scope of this short article.)

Now, if your fellow advertisers used your keyword poorly in the past, Google is pessimistic about this keyword. If they did not use it in the past or just a few times, again: Google is pessimistic about this keyword. Google’s pessimism is, of course, reflected in your keyword’s low Quality Score which in turn means high bids for you.

3. Someone has recently asked me “Can only commonly-used search terms be used for keywords?” They are probably much easier to use due to 2.b. So what can advertisers affected by 2.b./ do?

First off, what would the equation editor’s seller do in regard to offline advertising? He may perhaps try to identify a periodical on physics which is read mostly by research team members and place an ad in it. Similarly, he can identify a few physics related websites allowed for placement targeting within AdWords and only run his ads there.

Others might be more interested in a general audience so they need to bid for keywords and the equation editor’s seller may also decide to bid for keywords in regard to his specific placements. The issue of 2.b is still to solve. Actually they need to alleviate Google’s pessimism about their keywords and as everything else, it costs money. If Google misses a good history, they have to create one themselves.

Though the bid is relatively high initially, they need to run the ad for some weeks. The turning point in regard to Google’s mood is believed to be around 2.5 CTR. If they can persuade Google through their results that they can produce a CTR above that value in the long run, they may expect the bid to fall drastically and remain low or even very low for the rest of the time. However, whether or not it’s worth the investment should be considered by themselves.

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